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Logarithmic Regret and Polynomial Scaling in Online Multi-step-ahead Prediction

Qian, Jiachen, Zheng, Yang

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This letter studies the problem of online multi-step-ahead prediction for unknown linear stochastic systems. Using conditional distribution theory, we derive an optimal parameterization of the prediction policy as a linear function of future inputs, past inputs, and past outputs. Based on this characterization, we propose an online least-squares algorithm to learn the policy and analyze its regret relative to the optimal model-based predictor. We show that the online algorithm achieves logarithmic regret with respect to the optimal Kalman filter in the multi-step setting. Furthermore, with new proof techniques, we establish an almost-sure regret bound that does not rely on fixed failure probabilities for sufficiently large horizons $N$. Finally, our analysis also reveals that, while the regret remains logarithmic in $N$, its constant factor grows polynomially with the prediction horizon $H$, with the polynomial order set by the largest Jordan block of eigenvalue 1 in the system matrix.


FusionFactory: Fusing LLM Capabilities with Multi-LLM Log Data

Feng, Tao, Zhang, Haozhen, Lei, Zijie, Han, Pengrui, Patwary, Mostofa, Shoeybi, Mohammad, Catanzaro, Bryan, You, Jiaxuan

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The rapid advancement of large language models (LLMs) has created a diverse landscape of models, each excelling at different tasks. This diversity drives researchers to employ multiple LLMs in practice, leaving behind valuable multi-LLM log data. This naturally leads to the question of whether such logs can be fully leveraged to fuse LLMs' complementary capabilities. Although prior work has explored various strategies for integrating multiple LLMs, we argue that practical fusion must meet two essential requirements: (1) compatibility with real-world serving scenarios (e.g., local and API-based serving), and (2) flexibility to operate at different stages of the LLM pipeline to meet varied user needs (e.g., fine-tuning and inference stages). To this end, we introduce LLMFusionBench, a large-scale benchmark for LLM fusion that spans 14 tasks across five domains, with responses from 20 open-source LLMs (8B--671B) totaling 103M tokens. Building on LLMFusionBench, we propose FusionFactory, a systematic framework with three elaborated levels: (1) query-level fusion via tailored LLM routers, (2) thought-level fusion leveraging retrieved abstract reasoning templates, and (3) model-level fusion via distillation from top-ranked responses. Experiments show that FusionFactory consistently outperforms the best individual LLM across all 14 benchmarks, with the optimal fusion configuration varying across benchmarks, highlighting the promise of multi-LLM log data as a practical foundation for fusing diverse LLM capabilities.


Primality Testing via Circulant Matrix Eigenvalue Structure: A Novel Approach Using Cyclotomic Field Theory

Dinu, Marius-Constantin

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents a novel primality test based on the eigenvalue structure of circulant matrices constructed from roots of unity. We prove that an integer $n > 2$ is prime if and only if the minimal polynomial of the circulant matrix $C_n = W_n + W_n^2$ has exactly two irreducible factors over $\mathbb{Q}$. This characterization connects cyclotomic field theory with matrix algebra, providing both theoretical insights and practical applications. We demonstrate that the eigenvalue patterns of these matrices reveal fundamental distinctions between prime and composite numbers, leading to a deterministic primality test. Our approach leverages the relationship between primitive roots of unity, Galois theory, and the factorization of cyclotomic polynomials. We provide comprehensive experimental validation across various ranges of integers, discuss practical implementation considerations, and analyze the computational complexity of our method in comparison with established primality tests. The visual interpretation of our mathematical framework provides intuitive understanding of the algebraic structures that distinguish prime numbers. Our experimental validation demonstrates that our approach offers a deterministic alternative to existing methods, with performance characteristics reflecting its algebraic foundations.


Integral Forms in Matrix Lie Groups

Barfoot, Timothy D

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Matrix Lie groups provide a language for describing motion in such fields as robotics, computer vision, and graphics. When using these tools, we are often faced with turning infinite-series expressions into more compact finite series (e.g., the Euler-Rodriques formula), which can sometimes be onerous. In this paper, we identify some useful integral forms in matrix Lie group expressions that offer a more streamlined pathway for computing compact analytic results. Moreover, we present some recursive structures in these integral forms that show many of these expressions are interrelated. Key to our approach is that we are able to apply the minimal polynomial for a Lie algebra quite early in the process to keep expressions compact throughout the derivations. With the series approach, the minimal polynomial is usually applied at the end, making it hard to recognize common analytic expressions in the result. We show that our integral method can reproduce several series-derived results from the literature.


Regularized Nonlinear Acceleration

Neural Information Processing Systems

We describe a convergence acceleration technique for generic optimization problems. Our scheme computes estimates of the optimum from a nonlinear average of the iterates produced by any optimization method. The weights in this average are computed via a simple and small linear system, whose solution can be updated online. This acceleration scheme runs in parallel to the base algorithm, providing improved estimates of the solution on the fly, while the original optimization method is running. Numerical experiments are detailed on classical classification problems.


Generalized Inversion of Nonlinear Operators

Gofer, Eyal, Gilboa, Guy

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Inversion of operators is a fundamental concept in data processing. Inversion of linear operators is well studied, supported by established theory. When an inverse either does not exist or is not unique, generalized inverses are used. Most notable is the Moore-Penrose inverse, widely used in physics, statistics, and various fields of engineering. This work investigates generalized inversion of nonlinear operators. We first address broadly the desired properties of generalized inverses, guided by the Moore-Penrose axioms. We define the notion for general sets, and then a refinement, termed pseudo-inverse, for normed spaces. We present conditions for existence and uniqueness of a pseudo-inverse and establish theoretical results investigating its properties, such as continuity, its value for operator compositions and projection operators, and others. Analytic expressions are given for the pseudo-inverse of some well-known, non-invertible, nonlinear operators, such as hard- or soft-thresholding and ReLU. We analyze a neural layer and discuss relations to wavelet thresholding. Next, the Drazin inverse, and a relaxation, are investigated for operators with equal domain and range. We present scenarios where inversion is expressible as a linear combination of forward applications of the operator. Such scenarios arise for classes of nonlinear operators with vanishing polynomials, similar to the minimal or characteristic polynomials for matrices. Inversion using forward applications may facilitate the development of new efficient algorithms for approximating generalized inversion of complex nonlinear operators.


Spectral Filtering for General Linear Dynamical Systems

Hazan, Elad, Lee, Holden, Singh, Karan, Zhang, Cyril, Zhang, Yi

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We give a polynomial-time algorithm for learning latent-state linear dynamical systems without system identification, and without assumptions on the spectral radius of the system's transition matrix. The algorithm extends the recently introduced technique of spectral filtering, previously applied only to systems with a symmetric transition matrix, using a novel convex relaxation to allow for the efficient identification of phases.


Regularized Nonlinear Acceleration

Scieur, Damien, d', Aspremont, Alexandre, Bach, Francis

Neural Information Processing Systems

We describe a convergence acceleration technique for generic optimization problems. Our scheme computes estimates of the optimum from a nonlinear average of the iterates produced by any optimization method. The weights in this average are computed via a simple and small linear system, whose solution can be updated online. This acceleration scheme runs in parallel to the base algorithm, providing improved estimates of the solution on the fly, while the original optimization method is running. Numerical experiments are detailed on classical classification problems.